HOW LOW WILL PHILIPPINE STOCKS GO?


HOW LOW WILL PHILIPPINE STOCKS GO?
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In this video, let’s talk about Philippine stocks. How low can the Philippine market go? How low will it be? Should you buy Philippine stocks right now?
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US STOCKS

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BITCOIN ESSENTIALS:

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TRADING ESSENTIALS:

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VERY IMPORTANT

Please do not buy a stock just because it is talked about in Youtube. This video is for informational purposes. This is to give you a reference point and data on how you are suppose to analyse stocks only. Never buy or sell just because of this video.

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#StockSmarts #PhilippineStocks #StockInvestingMadeEasy
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What started out as a recovery story, driven by strong market optimism, is slowly turning into a prolonged relapse, as share prices fail anew on rising anxiety and pessimism. The resurgence of coronavirus cases to all-time high levels, the reimposition of lockdowns and the recent surge in inflation seemed to have crushed any hopes of revival in consumer confidence this year.

When market outlook is less positive, as uncertainties increase, we can expect market risk premium to also go up, as investors seek extra returns to cover their risks from buying stocks.

But, today, if we are going to compute for the implied risk premium of the market, we will find that it is actually lower at 8.1 percent from 8.7 percent at the start of the year.

This is because a portion of the risk was already reflected in the rise in interest rate, which has been increasing since January due to higher inflation.

The 10-year bond yield has increased from 2.98 percent to a high of 4.67 percent in March, as inflation accelerated to 4.7 percent in February from a low of 2.3 percent in October last year.

Without the rise in interest rate, the implied risk premium would have risen to 9.3 percent from 8.7 percent.

But, just the same, even with lower risk premium, higher interest rate increased total required rate of return to 12.4 percent from 11.8 percent in January.

A higher required rate of return lowers the present value of a company’s future cash flows, which result in lower stock price valuations.



Read more: https://business.inquirer.net/320725/is-the-stock-market-going-to-crash-again-in-2021#ixzz6uq4LhCWA
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